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Re: [Bug-gnubg] Guestimated abs. rating too high ?

From: David Montgomery
Subject: Re: [Bug-gnubg] Guestimated abs. rating too high ?
Date: Sun, 4 Aug 2002 10:17:28 -0700

> What we really need is thousands of analysed matches to gather some
> data
> (rating, error rate per move)
> we can do some statistics on. One match is simply not enough.
> We could request users on rec.games.backgammon to send (rating, error
> rate per move) from their matches on GamesGrid and FIBS. Once enough
> data has been collected we can try to find a function that fits the
> data.

I would add that the formula should really be based on
human play, not bot play.  We should expect the error
rates of bots to be biased low, and thus the guestimated
ratings to be biased high.


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