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Re: [Bug-gnubg] Strange analysis output


From: nis
Subject: Re: [Bug-gnubg] Strange analysis output
Date: Thu, 05 Sep 2002 10:12:25 +0200


--On 04  Sep 2002  19:24 +0200 Jim Segrave <address@hidden> wrote:

From the Annotation window:

    1. Cubeful 2-ply    5/4 5/1                      Eq.:  +1.033
       0.728 0.371 0.009 - 0.272 0.027 0.000
        2-ply cubeful 100% speed, 8 cand., 0.16 tol. [world class]
*   2. Cubeful 2-ply    8/7 8/4                      Eq.:  +0.950 (
        -0.083)        0.730 0.413 0.016 - 0.270 0.027 0.000
        2-ply cubeful 100% speed, 8 cand., 0.16 tol. [world class]

The move I made 8/7 8/4 has a
higher probability of a win          0.730 vs 0.728
higher probability of a gammon       0.413 vs 0.371
higher probability of a backgammon   0.016 vs 0.009
and the
same probabilities of being gammoned or backgammoned. So why is the
equity lower? What am I missing or misunderstanding?

The easy answer:because you are doing cubeful evaluation. The numbers listed are the cubeless winning chances.

Understanding WHY the cubeful equity is so much different in a situation loke this of course another matter.

A quick rollout lists your move as superior, BTW ...

Question: Why can't I view statistics after doing a rollout from the hint window?

--
Nis Jorgensen

Amsterdam




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