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Re: [Bug-gnubg] built-in support for mec in gnubg


From: Øystein Johansen
Subject: Re: [Bug-gnubg] built-in support for mec in gnubg
Date: Sat, 17 Apr 2004 22:37:12 +0200
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Michael Petch wrote:

| Possibly value is given for a potential free drop. Snowie evaluates a
| person at crawford with a free drop with a slight edge as well

You're probably right. I started thinking before I typed. The 2-away
1-away Post-crawford value is 48.5% this wil be the match equity in 37%
of all matches. Hence:

The trailer wins gammon:  1-away, 1-away     50%   x 13% =  6.5   %
The trailer wins normal:  1-away, 2-away     48.5% x 37% = 17.942 %
- --------------------------------------------------------------------
Total                                                      24.445 %
====================================================================

Which means leader wins: 75.555 %

q.e.d

- -Øystein
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