[Top][All Lists]

[Date Prev][Date Next][Thread Prev][Thread Next][Date Index][Thread Index]

Re: [Bug-gnubg] Results from the bot shootout

From: Joseph Heled
Subject: Re: [Bug-gnubg] Results from the bot shootout
Date: Fri, 6 Jul 2007 09:46:50 +1200

I am not sure what you try to show here, but if we can't show that
gnubg is individually better than bgb or sn, the likelihood it is
better than both is still harder to show

On 7/6/07, Achim Mueller <address@hidden> wrote:
* Joseph Heled <address@hidden> [070705 14:25]:
> Standard error may be informative, but statistical importance matters
> more to me. I think it is clear you tell gnubg is better than Jelly
> from those number, but nothing more.

Well, I wrote a lot of nonsense today (my statistic lessons are 20 years
ago), but what about this conclusion:

gnubg 1623 over all wins
bgblitz 1519 overall wins

j.s.d = sqrt(27.3+27.3 + 27.38*27.38) ~ 54.6

(1623 - 1519)/54.6 ~ 1.90

1.90 --> 97.1% confidence that in the overall competition (1 bot against
three bots) gnubg is better than bgblitz. That's one way we compare the
reliability of move rankings, so it should be right here also, shoudn't



Bug-gnubg mailing list

reply via email to

[Prev in Thread] Current Thread [Next in Thread]