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Re: [Bug-gnubg] Probability of getting hit

From: jorma kala
Subject: Re: [Bug-gnubg] Probability of getting hit
Date: Fri, 4 Apr 2008 00:05:59 +0200

thanks! that was what I was looking for, I din't realize it was displayed in Gnubg.

On 4/2/08, Massimiliano Maini <address@hidden> wrote:

bug-gnubg-bounces+massimiliano.maini=address@hidden wrote on 02/04/2008 13:38:28:

> Hi,
> does gnubg give the  probability of being hit for any given move or
> board position?
> (I'd find it rather useful for learning, because sometimes I avoid
> moves that intuitively I think lead to positions that are riskier
> than others, but I suspect that my intuition often is wrong. I know
> there are charts of probabilities of getting hit at so and so  pip
> distance,  but its difficult to manually calculate overall  
> probability of getting hit  for a board position each time. But
> maybe probability of getting hit isn't too relevant?)

Probability of getting hit when ? Next opp roll ?
Gnubg displays in the lower left corner the number of hitting rolls your
opponent has with the current configuration (at least in the GUI version).

For example, if your first roll is a 62 and you play 24/16, it shows:

        Return hits: 14 22 (no hit: 7 rolls)

this means that the 1st blot can be hit with 14 rolls over 36, the second
with 22 rolls over 36 and overall your opponent has 7 rolls that can not hit.

Notice however that the fact your opponent has X rolls that will hit does not
imply that, even if he/she rolls one of these, he/she will necessarily hit.


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