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Re: [Bug-gnubg] Luck analysis question

From: Joern Thyssen
Subject: Re: [Bug-gnubg] Luck analysis question
Date: Wed, 11 Jun 2003 13:58:27 +0000
User-agent: Mutt/1.4.1i

On Wed, Jun 11, 2003 at 09:55:18AM -0400, address@hidden wrote
> In a message dated 11/06/2003 14:50:55 GMT Daylight Time, address@hidden 
> writes:
> > If I analyse the matches with gnubg, it will say that snowie is giving
> > up equity /relative/ to gnubg, and vice versa. Since we do not have a
> > perfect bot for analysing cube decisions and chequerplays, the best
> > thing we can do is to play a huge number of matches between the two. I
> > calculated the luck adjusted results to reduce the variance similar to
> > what we do in rollouts. 
> > 
> > Jørn
> > 
> > 
> Or we could roll out all the disagreements using both bots and that should 
> give us some good ideas.
> In my series between GNU and S3.2, Snowie won easily after 100 games but must 
> have been quite lucky because rollouts by SW3.2 show GNU to be stronger.

yes, but calculating luck adjusted results are much faster than
performing many rollouts.

Also, rollouts may still disagree.


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