Re: no to war in Ukraine

[Emanuel Berg]

They say all the time the invasion isn't going to plan, Russia
is surprised by the resistence etc etc, but how do they
know that?

Since the Russians piled up all those arms on the other side
of the border which now easily have been moved in to the war
scene wouldn't that indicate they expected they would come
to use?

I think they know the Ukrainians inside out and they don't do
this unless they are 98% certain to win.

I looks to me like the strategy is to tie up the regular
forces in the East where they were already half busy keeping
track of the separatists, now the Russians encircle further
from the South to cut them off completely while hitting the
big cities to force them to surrender, and the convoy for Kiev
- offering a HUGE target but there are no Ukrainian forces
there to hit it! - with artillery and tanks will finalize that
strategy with a huge siege ...

If this was the plan from day one - and that sounds reasonable
since they did have a plan, they always do - then to me it
looks like it is going very much in accordance with it!

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